I am a person that is trying to learn how to “see” from the many perspectives on preparedness planning and the many ways that set off an SHTF situation. So I have devoted a lot of thought to the following ideas that may or may not have found traction in the prepper community.
Let me address a couple trains of thought that might help some of the preppers get past looking for specific events that they anticipate putting themselves into the SHTF mode. Bear with me, because visualizing this may be challenging. First off, many opinions concerning the SHTF event assume that it is only one event that will kick off all the collapse, but truth be told, that ANY collapse in any part of any SHTF situation will automatically cause a cascade reaction possibly complete failure of society (picture a large spider web..)
Here is why (just 3 examples):
If you have an outbreak of pandemic there will be an almost simultaneous breakdown in essential services (utilities, power generation, transportation, waste and water treatment, sanitation crews) as personnel get sick, or out of fear stay home, or run for the hills to get away. Now, I’m not talking the preppers necessarily, I’m talking the rest of the masses, and these will have secondary ripples among preppers…But the resulting impacts of this event will cause a run on medical and food and all aspects of the economy..it is not a standalone “people just get sick” event , I do think that all the related ripple effects will set off a cascade of failure as essential services personnel are affected (particularly if the pandemic is very contagious and crippling (not necessarily fatality wise)virulent).
An earthquake, large regional storm, or flood: for the same reasons as listed above as people struggle to cope with the local effects of the disaster there will also be the ripple effects here as most essential emergency services will also be concerned with their own again when they determine that relief efforts are slow in coming or servicing the affected, and mass defections of public service personnel happen (ala Hurricane Katrina), but the ripples of personal effects essential personnel will also affect local services…particularly as health conditions fail rapidly after the onset of the disaster (ala the Philippines recently with the Typhoon)…Not only were ALL areas of the supply economy devastated but in this case pandemic rapidly set in too)…the cascade of failure widened very quickly.
Economic Collapse/ Grid down (Sudden announcement of Bank Holiday or EBT and Electronic banking failure/ banks seizing confiscating deposits (bail-in)):
I don’t know many who work for free(except for some very hungry folks sometimes) but most people don’t work without a paycheck, that said the moment a rippling failure to pay hits and desperation for the “just in time” supply system begins to fail (ala recent EBT failure) because people don’t have money to spend for the stuff they need, the stores cant order what they can’t sell, the police can’t protect what is on the shelves as desperate folks get hungry…you can see that this goes badly quickly…but take into account that the lack of food and money to buy it will also affect all aspects of economy (fuel delivery, essential services….etc)…Do you see that these systems are all interconnected and all related and effected by shockwaves when a failure happens in any one small areas….so a wide spread banking “holiday” would impact all aspects of economy equally as the pain rapidly spreads..
This same scenario applies on an electrical grid out situation as well as all essential services are reliant on electrical power….but so is all banking, so is all commerce (because of credit card and debit card use, so few systems are NOT reliant on mechanical transactions anymore so even if you have cash, retailers still cannot keep up with the transactions for what they do have much less run pumps for fuel)…..
The point I’m trying to make is ANY SHTF scenario will lead to a ripple collapse of social society (maybe not overnight(save a supervolcano or asteroid strike event) but very rapidly onset (in ALL SITUATIONS) to the announcement)…media is doing its level best to NOT keep people informed of what would be happening just to prevent a rapid spread of the nature of the emergency (hence the govt control of all media sources (internet too), as a means of crisis management and PR control. But the collapse may be drawn out over the space of a month or a couple weeks….couple days depending on the initial publicity and information spread of an event. All the societal systems are interlocked in a web, any tug on any thread will set off ripples across the WHOLE fabric (if severe enough and not quickly contained by govt)
**** Please note I am NOT advocating any GOVT control or intervention…I’m merely making it understood that INFORMATION control would be it primary REACTION to an event to slow down or try to contain the impact)in order to save its overwhelmed self, and marshal the various agencies resources into Self defense mode (continuity of govt and its power). It will and has plainly laid out that govt will put its own survival first to any citizenry concerns (and likewise the mentality of all government officials will see their OWN safety and survival paramount to anyone else because they are the ones to MANAGE the problem and are therefore entitle to first come first serve of resources…
The second thing I wanted to address, was the psychology of people aftera SHTF events….Patriot Nurse briefly talked about it in one of her videos on Youtube.. I don’t think the prepper base REALLY considers just how radically different life will be without the technological materials they will use or the really long lasting effects of collapse of society would bring….and that it would be long time until self organizing communities arise (because of the huge trust issues and skill values will have to be sorted out to achieve half way stable communities (this is seldom addressed how these things would take place but it ignores completely the HUMAN NATURE ASPECT as it is expressed daily in a technological functional society, never mind one where technological enhancements are GONE!!) The huge psychological weight of HOW radically different society will be going into the desperation aspect of collapse or in the rebuilding phase after the huge impact of so much damaged infrastructure, crop production loss, utilities loss, energy and fuels loss. Any post collapse world will suffer a technology withdrawl…but I don’t know if people give serious consideration to this withdrawl within their own family/close circles..
On top of the already huge psychological burdens our spouses (who many times are reluctant and resistant to WANT to understand the prepper mindset, preferring their “red pill” matrix world instead) and our kids(particularly teens) and how they will handle that kind of blow, never mind the horrors of the collapse alone.
I even have times when I think to myself “What is the point of prepping to survive it if the aftermath is going to be so hugely difficult and overwhelming (particularly lacking competent and equipped medical services)? When real disease and pandemic arrives during the collapse (it will, it CANNOT NOT happen when you lose essential sanitation control and services of water treatment/sewage/ garbage disposal) and subsequent non handling / mishandling of corpses….
]Just some thoughts that need some circulation…I just think that these are necessary considerations and self educating points that preppers need to think about beyond the “I’ve got a stockpile and am ready” mindset.. How many and how well do we really think we are to handle the MENTAL and PSYCHOLOGICAL impacts of the collapse. Mitigating the psychological wounds (the horror of all our experiences and possibly necessary actions for our individual selves (never mind trying to be protector and healers of our spouses and kids as well) and have to deal with them without meds or doctors or therapists. Or the huge tasks of trying to restore/rebuild some or any basic manufacturing, food production or textiles industry.
Agree / disagree please let us know how you feel in the comments below…